Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
