MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:09:29| >> :120:43877:43877:
Leverkusen logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Union SG
Wirtz (82')
Hincapie (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Okoh Boniface (51')
Van der Heyden (25'), Lapoussin (84'), Moris (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Union SG

While we expect Union SG to pose Leverkusen with plenty of headaches across the course of this encounter, the Germans have become a consistent outfit during Alonso's reign, and we believe that they will head to Saint-Gilloise with a healthy lead to protect in the return leg next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawUnion SG
51.4% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 23.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)45.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)67.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.56% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 51.4%
    Union SG 24.95%
    Draw 23.65%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.95%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Union SG

Bayer Leverkusen
83.6%
Draw
10.1%
Union SG
6.3%
189
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!