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Juventus logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Sporting Lisbon
Juventus
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon
Gatti (73')
Rabiot (24'), Vlahovic (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Inacio (20')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon

Masters of taking the lead and then grinding out a gritty victory, a well-drilled Juventus side can nullify Sporting's lively attack and take a slim advantage with them to Lisbon next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSporting Lisbon
31.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 42.71% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.07% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.1% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.9% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 31.65%
    Sporting Lisbon 42.71%
    Draw 25.64%
JuventusDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.71%

How you voted: Juventus vs Sporting Lisbon

Juventus
72.6%
Draw
11.2%
Sporting Lisbon
16.1%
223
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group D
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Juventus
Cesar (20')
Dost (67'), Acuna (78'), Coates (79')
Higuain (79')
Mandzukic (26'), Cuadrado (89')
Oct 18, 2017 7.45pm
Group D
Juventus
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Pjanic (29'), Mandzukic (84')
Sturaro (68'), Chiellini (83')
Sandro (12' og.)
Coates (25'), Fernandes (37')
rhs 2.0
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3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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