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Juventus logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Inter logo
Juventus
1 - 1
Inter Milan
Cuadrado (83')
Miretti (89'), Cuadrado (90+5')
Cuadrado (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Brozovic (41'), Lukaku (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan

Often a tempestuous affair, the most recent Derby d'Italia saw both teams have a man sent off at the end as scuffles broke out, so bad blood may affect how Tuesday's game plays out. There is every chance that red could be flashed again, as 1-0 specialists Juventus take a slim lead to Milan following a cautious first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawInter Milan
32.07% (2.246 2.25) 25.92% (0.099 0.1) 42.01% (-2.343 -2.34)
Both teams to score 53.59% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.445 0.45)50.6% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (0.392 0.39)72.51% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (1.774 1.77)29.59% (-1.774 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (2.111 2.11)65.63% (-2.11 -2.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.944 -0.94)23.88% (0.945 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-1.371 -1.37)58.08% (1.372 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 32.07%
    Inter Milan 42.01%
    Draw 25.92%
JuventusDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.264 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.383 0.38)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.404 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.293 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.257 0.26)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 42.01%

How you voted: Juventus vs Inter Milan

Juventus
71.4%
Draw
15.5%
Inter Milan
13.1%
206
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 7.45pm
Inter Milan
0-1
Juventus

Barella (30'), D'Ambrosio (90+7'), Brozovic (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (90+8')
Kostic (23')
Gatti (31'), Rabiot (71'), Danilo (88'), Paredes (90+1')
Paredes (90+8')
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
May 11, 2022 8pm
Final
Juventus
2-4
Inter Milan
Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City36284493316288
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361871170502061
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea361110153642-643
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

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