Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan would win this match.