Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.