Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Western United win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.