Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
