Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
