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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce
4 - 0
Hatayspor
King (20'), Batshuayi (26'), Dursun (86'), Henrique (90+5')
King (51'), Henrique (85'), Hakan Yandas (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Adekugbe (15'), Yildirim (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Giresunspor
Saturday, December 24 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Hatayspor

Hatayspor have made great strides under their new manager, but they are playing a Fener side in a dogfight for the Turkish title, who possess a plethora of attacking options that have caused all sorts of problems to their opponents this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.08%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 8.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
77.08% (-0.378 -0.38) 14.49% (0.173 0.17) 8.43% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.76% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.02% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)34.98% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.03% (-0.154 -0.15)56.97% (0.148 0.15)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.57% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)7.43% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.26% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)26.74% (0.279 0.28)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.68% (0.36199999999999 0.36)47.32% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.27% (0.271 0.27)82.73% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 77.06%
    Hatayspor 8.43%
    Draw 14.49%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 11.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 10.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 6.69% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.48% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 77.06%
1-1 @ 6.84% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.49%
0-1 @ 2.63% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.56% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 8.43%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Hatayspor
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Saint-Louis (70')
Biram Diouf (78'), Kamara (86')
Rossi (17'), Novak (29')
Hakan Yandas (44'), Pereira (45'), Novak (90+1')
Feb 2, 2021 1pm
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Boupendza (90')
Caytemel (38'), Ribeiro (50'), Santos (59'), Boupendza (89'), Erdogan (90+2')
Thiam (26'), Billong (88' og.)
Cisse (73'), Bayindir (90+1')
Sep 21, 2020 6pm
Fenerbahce
0-0
Hatayspor

Valencia (26')

Santos (9'), Ribeiro (19'), Sackey (56')
Ribeiro (73'), Sackey (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33254473264779
2Fenerbahce33235582394374
3BesiktasBesiktas34228470313974
4Adana Demirspor33189670412963
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul331581045341153
6KonyasporKonyaspor33121384536949
7KayserisporKayserispor33154145457-349
8TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32146125047348
9Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3211111068581044
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor34118155262-1041
11KasimpasaKasimpasa33117154052-1240
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33116164047-739
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor33108154351-838
14SivassporSivasspor34107174453-937
15Istanbulspor33105184061-2135
16Giresunspor33810153756-1934
17UmraniyesporUmraniyespor3369184459-1527
18GaziantepGaziantep3367203163-3225
19Hatayspor3365221974-5523

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