Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.