Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
67.99% | 18.13% | 13.88% |
Both teams to score 55.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% | 36.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% | 58.89% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% | 9.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.24% | 32.75% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% | 38.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.47% | 75.53% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.5% 4-0 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.55% 5-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 4.08% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.6% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.13% | 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-1 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.45% 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 42 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 28 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Macarthur | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 25 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
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