Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
