Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.