Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
