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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road
Colwyn Bay
3 - 1
Aberystwyth
Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Aberystwyth Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
64.89% (0.24799999999999 0.25) 19.08% (-0.041 -0.04) 16.02% (-0.205 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.28% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.221 -0.22)36.61% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.23% (-0.242 -0.24)58.77% (0.244 0.24)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)10.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.387 -0.39)35.92% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.398 -0.4)72.69% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 64.89%
    Aberystwyth Town 16.02%
    Draw 19.08%
Colwyn BayDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.02%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints13112045103535
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay14102241162532
3Newtown AFCNewtown137242314923
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon147252826223
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU146441722-522
6Bala TownBala Town145541111020
7Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont135261720-317
8Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest143561526-1114
9Barry Town UnitedBarry143381526-1112
10Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd14338517-1212
11Colwyn Bay122281221-98
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth13229828-208

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