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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Cardiff MU
3 - 0
Pontypridd
Jones (39', 75'), Evans (61')
Jones (32'), Baker (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Green (26'), Knott (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Pontypridd Town AFC.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawPontypridd Town AFC
49.95% (0.275 0.27) 25.13% (-0.035 -0.04) 24.91% (-0.247 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.058 -0.06)51.31% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)73.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.090999999999994 0.09)20.55% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (0.147 0.15)53.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (-0.244 -0.24)35.37% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (-0.253 -0.25)72.13% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 49.94%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 24.91%
    Draw 25.13%
Cardiff MUDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.91%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints13112045103535
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay14102241162532
3Newtown AFCNewtown137242314923
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon147252826223
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU146441722-522
6Bala TownBala Town145541111020
7Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont135261720-317
8Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest143561526-1114
9Barry Town UnitedBarry143381526-1112
10Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd14338517-1212
11Colwyn Bay122281221-98
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth13229828-208

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