Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.