Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
40.36% | 29.42% | 30.22% |
Both teams to score 42.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.13% | 63.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.91% | 83.09% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% | 31.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% | 67.35% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.11% | 37.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.34% | 74.66% |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 8.05% 2-1 @ 7.81% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 26 |
2 | RangersRangers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 18 |
3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
5 | Hearts | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
6 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
10 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |