Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
