Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.