Arbroath 4-2 Dunfermline Athletic - Scottish Championship - October 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

4 - 2

O'Brien (15'), McKenna (37', 85' pen.), Linn (77')
McKenna (51'), Hilson (78')

FT(HT: 2-2)

O'Hara (8', 12')
(77')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic.

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
49.18%	26.78%	24.04%

Both teams to score 45.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86%

58.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21%

78.79%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26%

23.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12%

57.88%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05%

39.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39%

76.61%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 49.17%

Dunfermline Athletic 24.04%

Draw 26.78%

Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.04%

Head to Head

Aug 28, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 4

0-3

Pybus (26')

McKenna (12', 67'), Gold (44')
Stewart (54')

Apr 24, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 26

4-3

McManus (10' pen.), O'Hara (15'), Wighton (57', 75')
Henderson (34'), Whittaker (61')

Hamilton (33'), Low (35' pen.), Stewart (82')
Little (52')

Feb 6, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 15

2-0

O'Brien (27'), Hilson (36')
Craigen (77')

Watson (86')

Dec 26, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 9

1-0

O'Hara (90+1')
Dow (24'), McManus (76')

Little (22'), O'Brien (80'), Thomson (90')

Nov 28, 2020 3pm

Second Round

1-3

Hilson (65')
Ruth (56'), Little (82')

Dow (28'), Murray (36'), O'Hara (82' pen.)
McManus (63')