Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.