Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dumbarton
1 - 3
Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 East Fife
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
43.14% ( 0.03) | 24.62% ( -0) | 32.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
