Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
