Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
