Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
