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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Lech Poznan
3 - 1
LKS Lodz
Ishak (18', 44'), Velde (81')
Murawski (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Juric (64')
Mokrzycki (2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and LKS Lodz.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawLKS Lodz
60.19% (0.261 0.26) 21.56% (-0.167 -0.17) 18.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.363 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (0.571 0.57)44.1% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.55399999999999 0.55)66.48% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.26900000000001 0.27)14.23% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.524 0.52)41.97% (-0.524 -0.52)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (0.227 0.23)37.85% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (0.219 0.22)74.63% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 60.18%
    LKS Lodz 18.25%
    Draw 21.56%
Lech PoznanDrawLKS Lodz
1-0 @ 10.5% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 60.18%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.25%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Slask Wroclaw1383224121227
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1382330191126
3Lech Poznan137422619725
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin1371524141022
5Rakow CzestochowaRakow117132314922
6Legia WarsawLegia116231915420
7Zaglebie Lubin126241415-120
8Gornik ZabrzeGornik134451416-216
9Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice132921111015
10Radomiak Radom124351516-115
11KS CracoviaCracovia123631317-415
12Korona Kielce123541616014
13Warta Poznan133551314-114
14Widzew Lodz114251416-214
15Stal Mielec123361516-112
16Puszcza Niepolomice132471628-1210
17Ruch Chorzow121561322-98
18LKS Lodz132110727-207

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