Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
