Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.