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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 3am UK
Empire Field
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver
1 - 0
Los Angeles
Cubas (89')
Cavallini (27'), Gauld (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murillo (39'), Fall (88')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Desperation can be a massive X-factor that many do not consider, and even though LA, on paper, have a lot more depth than Vancouver, they may be a little more passive than we anticipate, given their standing. Even without Bale in the fold, the Black and Gold have many weapons, and it is a big ask for anyone to shut them out over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
33.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.85% (0.149 0.15) 41.94% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.62% (-0.515 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.675 -0.67)45.55% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.646 -0.65)67.87% (0.648 0.65)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.31 -0.31)26.39% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.417 -0.42)61.54% (0.418 0.42)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.364 -0.36)21.72% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (-0.563 -0.56)54.89% (0.564 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 33.21%
    Los Angeles FC 41.94%
    Draw 24.85%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.77%
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Los Angeles

Vancouver Whitecaps
22.2%
Draw
19.4%
Los Angeles FC
58.3%
36
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2022 2am
Los Angeles
3-1
Vancouver
Hollingshead (27', 70'), Vela (38')
Vela (33'), Fall (61'), Sanchez (90')
Blackmon (12')
Veselinovic (20'), Teibert (55')
Nov 3, 2021 2.30am
Aug 22, 2021 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Los Angeles
White (60'), Gauld (89')
Rossi (45+2' pen.)
Arango (90+4')
Jul 25, 2021 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-2
Vancouver
Vela (40'), Cifuentes (75')
Baird (67'), Murillo (82')
Caicedo (25'), Dajome (38')
Alexandre (27'), Baldisimo (58'), Bikel (69'), Caicedo (84')
Oct 15, 2020 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Los Angeles
Cavallini (30', 59')
Bush (83'), Bikel (89')
Atuesta (83' pen.)
Segura (49'), Duenas (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati34209557391869
2Orlando City34189755391663
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia351610960421858
4Columbus Crew34169967462157
5New England RevolutionNew England3515101059491055
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341312966531351
7Nashville SCNashville341310113932749
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls351210134141046
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC351013124757-1043
10New York City FCNY City34914113539-441
11CF MontrealMontreal34125173652-1641
12DC United341010144549-440
13Chicago Fire341010143951-1240
14Inter MiamiInter Miami3497184154-1334
15Toronto34410202659-3322

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City341751262451756
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles3515101059411855
3Seattle SoundersSeattle34141194132953
4Houston DynamoHouston341491151381351
5Real Salt LakeSalt Lake34148124850-250
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver351212115753448
7Dallas341113104137446
8Sporting Kansas CityKansas35129144851-345
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes351015103943-445
10Portland TimbersPortland341110134658-1243
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd341011134651-541
12Austin FCAustin34109154955-639
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34812145167-1636
14Colorado RapidsColorado34512172654-2827

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