We said: Newport County 1-2 Sutton United
Both teams have been strong this season, which is why they are in the mix for a potential promotion from League Two, being in the top half of the table.
There is a lot to play for in this game in regards to the playoff positions, but with Sutton United having had a stronger start to the season, they should be the favourites to win here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
