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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
51.2% | 26.28% | 22.52% |
Both teams to score 45.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.4% | 57.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.63% | 78.37% |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% | 22.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.78% | 56.21% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.89% | 41.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.34% | 77.66% |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
> League One Full Table |