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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sheffield Wednesday.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | MK Dons |
46.22% | 26.54% | 27.24% |
Both teams to score 49.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.83% | 55.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.59% | 76.41% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% | 58.01% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.49% | 35.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% | 72.28% |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.02% Total : 27.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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