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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Sunderland |
33.71% | 28.09% | 38.2% |
Both teams to score 47.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.27% | 58.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.74% | 79.26% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.4% | 32.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% | 69.14% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% | 29.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% | 65.82% |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |