Sagan Tosu 0-1 Gamba Osaka - J1 League - April 14, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Apr 14, 2021 at 11am UK at Tosu Stadium

Nakano (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Usami (68')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Gamba Osaka
41.39%	28.1%	30.51%

Both teams to score 46.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57%

59.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2%

79.8%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74%

28.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03%

63.97%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75%

35.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28%

72%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 41.38%

Gamba Osaka 30.5%

Draw 28.09%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.09%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.5%