Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - April 2, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Apr 2, 2021 at 11am UK at Kincho Stadium

Okuno (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
42.69%	28.67%	28.64%

Both teams to score 44.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.03%

61.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.29%

81.72%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23%

28.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39%

64.61%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.91%

38.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15%

74.86%

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 42.69%

Sagan Tosu 28.64%

Draw 28.65%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 8.21% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.58% Total : 42.69%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.64% Total : 28.64%