FC Tokyo 3-2 Cerezo Osaka - J1 League - March 6, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Mar 6, 2021 at 5am UK at Ajinomoto Stadium

Tagawa (54'), Leandro (71'), Morishige (90+3')
Silva (37'), Morishige (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Okubo (14'), Harakawa (58')
Seko (19'), Harakawa (69')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
45.85%	27.03%	27.12%

Both teams to score 47.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94%

57.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05%

77.95%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16%

24.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56%

59.44%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36%

36.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57%

73.43%

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 45.84%

Cerezo Osaka 27.12%

Draw 27.03%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.84%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.12%