Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - February 27, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 27, 2021 at 6am UK at Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Nakamura (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sagan Tosu in this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sagan Tosu
29.2%	28.63%	42.16%

Both teams to score 44.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.34%

61.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.51%

81.48%

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53%

37.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75%

74.25%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09%

28.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22%

64.78%

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 29.2%

Sagan Tosu 42.16%

Draw 28.62%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.2%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 13.44% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-3 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.07% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.57% Total : 42.16%