Sagan Tosu 2-2 Shonan Bellmare - J1 League - October 25, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 25, 2020 at 5am UK at Best Amenity Stadium

Cho (34'), Hayashi (75')
Miya (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barada (20'), Ibusuki (45+2')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
42.78%	27.06%	30.16%

Both teams to score 49.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22%

55.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09%

76.91%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19%

25.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23%

60.76%

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42%

33.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78%

70.22%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 42.77%

Shonan Bellmare 30.16%

Draw 27.05%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.77%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.16%