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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
21.85% | 23.31% | 54.84% |
Both teams to score 53.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% | 46.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31% | 68.99% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% | 35.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% | 72.39% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% | 16.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.02% | 46.98% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 6.22% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.86% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3% Total : 54.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
3 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
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