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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
53.27% | 22.36% | 24.36% |
Both teams to score 59.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.25% | 39.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.89% | 62.11% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% | 14.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% | 43.41% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% | 29.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% | 65.61% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.17% Total : 24.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
3 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
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