Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
