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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heracles |
49.1% | 26.09% | 24.8% |
Both teams to score 48.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.91% | 55.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.65% | 76.34% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% | 22.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% | 56.02% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.45% | 37.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.67% | 74.33% |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 19 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Heracles | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
14 | Vitesse | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
16 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
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