Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
