Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roda JC in this match.
