Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (6.22%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
