Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
