Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
