MX23RW : Sunday, October 29 03:28:48| >> :120:9117:9117:
Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 28, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Fortaleza
1 - 2
LDU Quito
Martin Lucero (48')
Alexandre (18'), Guilherme (41'), Marinho (52'), Britez (81')
FT
(aet)
Alzugaray (56')
Guerrero (36'), Piovi (99')
LDU Quito win 4-3 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 LDU Quito
Wednesday, October 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Fortaleza 1-0 LDU Quito

Experience may favour the Ecuadorians heading into this fixture, but Fortaleza have faced some stiff challenges domestically and at the Sudamericana this year, and we believe that will enable them to find that extra gear and eventually break down that stingy Quito backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6%).

Result
FortalezaDrawLDU Quito
60.14% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 22.76%17.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)50.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69%46.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (0.016000000000002 0.02)79.49% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 60.13%
    LDU Quito 17.1%
    Draw 22.76%
FortalezaDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs LDU Quito

Fortaleza
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
LDU Quito
20.0%
15

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

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